Value at Risk Calculator

Estimate the portfolio loss that should not be exceeded over a chosen time horizon at a given confidence level. This page also keeps the formula, examples, FAQs, and references close by so you can check the result with confidence.

What This Value at Risk Calculator Helps You Do

VaR scales portfolio volatility by a confidence factor and the square root of time. Review the formula and examples below if you want to see how the result is derived.

This page is meant to give you a fast answer, but it also helps you double-check the math before you make a decision. Start with the inputs that you already know, run the calculation, and then compare the output with the formula, examples, and FAQs below so you can see whether the answer fits the situation you are modeling.

If the result looks off, the usual causes are a unit mismatch, a missing decimal, the wrong scenario, or a value that needs to be entered as a rate instead of a total. The notes on this page are designed to make those checks easy without forcing you to leave the calculator and search for context elsewhere.

  • Use the calculator first for a quick estimate.
  • Use the formula to understand how the result is built.
  • Use the examples to compare common use cases.
  • Use the references when the answer depends on a standard or assumption.

Common Checks

A quick result is useful, but the best result is one that still makes sense when you look at it a second time. If you are comparing scenarios, try changing one input at a time so you can see which variable has the biggest impact on the final answer. That makes it much easier to spot whether the calculation matches your expectations.

It also helps to keep the context of the problem in mind. A calculator can tell you the math, but you still need to decide whether the input represents a total, a rate, an average, or a category-specific assumption. When in doubt, start with a simple example from the page and scale up from there.

  • Check that every unit matches the rest of the problem.
  • Keep rates, totals, and averages separate.
  • Adjust one variable at a time when testing scenarios.
  • Use the smallest realistic input first, then scale upward.

Scenario Planning

This calculator is especially useful when you want a quick answer before you commit time, money, or effort. Try one baseline input set, then change a single number and compare the result so you can see how sensitive the answer is to that variable.

That makes the page useful for more than just arithmetic. It becomes a small decision aid that helps you compare options, test assumptions, and explain the final number with confidence when you need to share it with someone else.

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Result

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Quick Answer: VaR scales portfolio volatility by a confidence factor and the square root of time. Review the formula and examples below if you want to see how the result is derived.

How to Calculate Value at Risk Calculator

  1. Enter the portfolio value: Provide the current size of the portfolio.
  2. Set volatility and horizon: Enter annual volatility and the number of days you want to test.
  3. Pick confidence: Choose the confidence level to calculate VaR.

Value at Risk Calculator Formula

VaR = portfolio value x volatility x z-score x sqrt(time horizon / 252)
Variable Meaning Unit
Portfolio value Current value of the portfolio $
Volatility Annualized return volatility %
Confidence level Probability threshold for the estimate %

Frequently Asked Questions

It is the estimated maximum expected loss over a time horizon at a given confidence level.

No. It is a statistical estimate, not a guarantee.

Yes. Higher confidence levels produce larger VaR values.
Planning note: This is a simplified parametric VaR model and not a substitute for professional risk management.

References

Last reviewed: April 2026